From the USA Today.....
Poll: Clinton establishes sizable
lead over Obama
By Susan Page, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — New
York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton has regained a double-digit lead over Illinois
Sen. Barack Obama in the USA TODAY/Gallup Poll two weeks after the survey found
the Democratic presidential rivals essentially tied.
Among Republicans, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani remains
ahead, but former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, who hasn't formally entered
the race, for the first time edges into second place over Arizona Sen. John
McCain.
The results show a Republican race that could be roiled by Thompson,
who is targeting conservatives unsatisfied with their choices in the field so
far. He is costing Giuliani most: A third of Thompson's supporters say they
would otherwise back the former mayor.
The Democratic contest generally has been stable, though a USA TODAY
Poll taken June 1-3 had shown Obama 1 percentage point ahead of Clinton,
30%-29%. In the new survey, Clinton leads Obama 33%-21% if former vice president
Al Gore — who has neither entered the race nor ruled it out — is included among
the candidates.
I Really have to be honest. It has been a long time since I have been this enthusiastic about a potential White House showdown as I am for the one that appears to be taking shape. I have seen many leftwingers who claim that Conservative Republicans are afraid of HRC.
I sure hope they continue to believe that.
Having a Shrillary vs Thompson showdown would be like Christmas morning. I just cannot conceive a more favorable match up for the GOP.
The more I fritter and fret that, somehow, the Democrats are going to wake up in time to nominate Obama or Edwards or (worst of all) Bill Richardson or Mark Warner, the more I am heartened by news like this.
The Democrats seemed determined to nominate Hillary and I, for one, applaud the gesture with all the enthusiasm I can muster! can I get some yard signs!? bumper stickers?
During primary season, I am willing to work just as hard for Hillary's nomination as for Fred Thompson's. Make no mistake, I am not just hoping Hillary is our opponent, I am absolutely begging for it to be so.
The latest polling puts Hillary's unfavorables at an alarming 49% and 47% of the nation says they will not vote for her under any circumstances. By contrast, a mere 31% say the same about Fred Thompson.
Put another way, Hillary's ceiling of support (the absolute most she can get, mathematically, under any circumstance) is 53%. Thompson's ceiling is 69%
If each candidate hits 2/3 of their ceiling, Hillary gets drubbed 46-35. If they each hit 3/4, it's 52- 40. To hit the magic 50%, Hillary needs almost 94% of her possible support. Thompson reaches the same level with a mere 73% of his support.
In a battle against Thompson, her heinous highness would have little choice but to go negative. This is a tactic that Fred would welcome.
Can you imagine these two in a debate? My guess is that Hillary would try to duck Thompson.
Of course, in a debate against McCain or Romney, her evilness would be much better suited. Even against Guiliani, she could hold her own. Yet, against the calm, reasoned and plain spoken Thompson, she would come across as shrill, crass and manufactured. It would not be pretty.
I am very seriously considering donations to both Thompson and Hillary. Can I do that?
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