A NEWT ONE- THE TRUTH SURGE!

Monday, October 15, 2007 RETURN TO TOP

BENEFIT BOOK TO BE RELEASED IN NOVEMBER
TRACKBACK

Jimmy Z and his retired USMC Colonel Dad shoot photos for charity
Publication benefits Freedom Alliance

All author royalties will go to Oliver North's Freedom Alliance Scholarship Fund, benefitting the children of fallen soldiers. My father and I were pleased to be a part of this project. The book itself is a beautiful presentation in words and pictures. Reading and viewing it as presented, relaxing by the fire with a glass of your favorite Cabernet is recommended. Links are provided for your convenience. Publication date is November 6, 2007. Your support for this charity is appreciated.

There are some very good essays in the book as well, from such notables and Laura Ingraham, Sean Hannity and Lt. Col. Oliver North, among many others.

And you get to enjoy the work of some very fine photographers from all over the nation - all of whom did so as charity work - including yours truly and my hero, my Dad.

Buy at:
amazon.com
barnes and noble
borders

Labels: A Newt One, American Truth warriors, Blog talk radio, Checkmate, Conservative, Darter45, Fred Thompson, Freedom Fighter, Freedom Fighter Radio, freedomfighteronthehomefront.com, freedomfighterradio.com, George W Bush, Jimmy Z, Moonbats, Patriots for Conservative values, Snooper, SonlitKnight, The Headless Thompson Gunners, The Truth Surge

Rudy Guiliani has been crowing for months that he is the guy who matches up best in an electoral match with Hillary. I have never believed that. I have believed, since the start, that Rudy has been living off of name recognition and the fallacy that Rudy's strong leadership after 9/11 means that the war on terror creds should be ceded to him.

The latest Rasmussen polling shows that I was right (something which happens with astounding frequency). In the latest polls, Rudy has gained among Republicans while McCain has lost ground. However, in the General election polling, it is Rudy (and the most of the rest of the GOP field that is flagging) while McCain is surging. In fact, negatives ratings have risen above 40% for all the major Presidential candidates-Republican or Democrat- save 2;
Fred Thompson and John McCain.

Thompson obviously has much more room to grow as he is much less known than McCain.
I believe Thompson, not McCain, will be the nominee.

Yet, you can argue the fact that-right now- McCain does better against the wicked witch of the north than any other candidate. McCain is within one point of her evil heinous highness Hitlery
Clinton and is the only guy holding her under 45% in the horserace number.

Nobody else is closer than 8 points back, and nobody else holds her to less than 48%.

I believe that Thompson will surge and take the lead over her evilness by the end of next summer. However, McCain's broad appeal cannot be ignored in the all-important veepstakes.

One thing is clear, he would mop the floor with Osama Bin Laden Obama in a debate.

To my dear friend who goes by the handle ‘guera’ in the chat room frequently mentioned, this from Rush Limbaugh:

Peace is the aftermath of victory.

Fred Thompson's support was flagging a bit nationaly among Republicans due to his really not stirring things up as much as some had hoped- at least not yet.

Some speculation was about regarding who needed to (and who did) win the debate.

For me, the only real measuring stick of who won a political debate is what the numbers reflect in the next round of polling. Take the last poll in which all sampling came before the debate, and the first poll in which all sampling followed the debate.

It was by that formula that it was clear that Kerry/Edwards won debate #1 in 2004 but, just as clearly, lost 2, 3 and 4.

According to the what do the polls say? method of debate scoring, the winner of last Tuesday's debate was...... *drum roll*

Fred Thompson. Prior to the debate, Fred was in a solid second place, 10 points behind Guiliani in the national polling, according to Rasmussen Reports. Now, after a six point bounce, he finds himself still in a solid second, but now only six points back. Rudy also received a 2 point post debate bounce.

Romney and Mccain both lost ground with McCain dropping back into single digits. This is very interesting since most of the post-debate spin centered around the stellar performance of a resurgent John McCain.

For now, Romney continues to lead in Iowa, with Thompson and Huckabee running second and third and Rudy forth. It remains doubtful to me that Huckabee has the resources and staying power to parlay anything but a first and a second into continued life.

So, for now at least, it appears to be a 3 man race between Guiliani, Thompson and Romney. I still remain convinced that Guiliani will fall by the wayside after Iowa.

Many Officials, However, Warn Of Its Resilience

By Thomas E. Ricks and Karen DeYoung
Washington Post Staff Writers
Monday, October 15, 2007; A01

The U.S. military believes it has dealt devastating and perhaps irreversible blows to al-Qaeda in Iraq in recent months, leading some generals to advocate a declaration of victory over the group, which the Bush administration has long described as the most lethal U.S. adversary in Iraq.

But as the White House and its military commanders plan the next phase of the war, other officials have cautioned against taking what they see as a premature step that could create strategic and political difficulties for the United States. Such a declaration could fuel criticism that the Iraq conflict has become a civil war in which U.S. combat forces should not be involved. At the same time, the intelligence community, and some in the military itself, worry about underestimating an enemy that has shown great resilience in the past.

"I think it would be premature at this point," a senior intelligence official said of a victory declaration over AQI, as the group is known. Despite recent U.S. gains, he said, AQI retains "the ability for surprise and for catastrophic attacks." Earlier periods of optimism, such as immediately following the June 2006 death of AQI founder Abu Musab al-Zarqawi in a U.S. air raid, not only proved unfounded but were followed by expanded operations by the militant organization.

There is widespread agreement that AQI has suffered major blows over the past three months. Among the indicators cited is a sharp drop in suicide bombings, the group's signature attack, from more than 60 in January to around 30 a month since July. Captures and interrogations of AQI leaders over the summer had what a senior military intelligence official called a "cascade effect," leading to other killings and captures. The flow of foreign fighters through Syria into Iraq has also diminished, although officials are unsure of the reason and are concerned that the broader al-Qaeda network may be diverting new recruits to Afghanistan and elsewhere.

The deployment of more U.S. and Iraqi forces into AQI strongholds in Anbar province and the Baghdad area, as well as the recruitment of Sunni tribal fighters to combat AQI operatives in those locations, has helped to deprive the militants of a secure base of operations, U.S. military officials said. "They are less and less coordinated, more and more fragmented," Lt. Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, the second-ranking U.S. commander in Iraq, said recently. Describing frayed support structures and supply lines, Odierno estimated that the group's capabilities have been "degraded" by 60 to 70 percent since the beginning of the year.

Lt. Gen. Stanley McChrystal, head of the Joint Special Operations Command's operations in Iraq, is the chief promoter of a victory declaration and believes that AQI has been all but eliminated, the military intelligence official said. But Adm. William J. Fallon, the chief of U.S. Central Command, which oversees Iraq and the rest of the Middle East, is urging restraint, the official said. The military intelligence official, like others interviewed for this report, spoke on the condition of anonymity about Iraq assessments and strategy.

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