It has been occurring for months, but in small steps that remained beneath the radar. Now, Republican momentum is past the point of plausible denial. The generic Congressional ballot has been bouncing in and out of a single digit Democratic lead. It was Dems +21 on election eve.
Hillary Clinton is now statistically tied with 3 Republicans in General Election trial heats. (within the MOE in either direction). Last month, it was true of only John McCain.
In addition, the Democrats, who earlier this year led Republicans in 9 out of 10 election year issues, now lead in only 7. The GOP lead on the issue of taxes is 9 points and represents a 16 point net improvement since October. This has to be very worrisome for the Dems who have already introduced a proposed Trillion dollar tax increase.
Even on the issues Dems still lead on, those leads are fading fast. For example, the Democratic advantage on Health Care in October was 21 points. It is now 8 points.
My analysis is what I call the de-Iraqification of election 2008. As Iraq fades as an issue, Democrats are facing the issue scrutiny they escaped in 2006. By November 2008, Democrats could very well be in very, very serious trouble.
All poll numbers cited from Rasmussen Reports.
Labels: A Newt One, American Truth warriors
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