It has been a while since all of the major pollsters got it so wrong and the internal numbers tell the story. The independent vote broke towards the Republicans at the last minute. This not only gave Hillary Clinton the upset win over Barack Obama, but helped John McCain beat Mitt Romney by over 16,000 votes.
Last week, pollsters were saying that the independents were breaking towards Obama and that Obama was on his way to an easy win (9-12 points among the major pollsters). Projections were that voters for Democrats would outnumber those of Republicans 2-1 or better.
Just goes to show that even the best can miss one. *wink*
Republicans did much better than advertised, getting better than 83% of the total of the Democrat vote. This was a dramatic improvement over Iowa, which was about 50%.
More than 1/3 of GOP primary voters were independents. This was more than the pollsters were anticipating, to be sure. This development bodes well for the GOP going forward, especially for McCain.
On the other side, the return of the stupid democrat has to be encouraging. Anyone with two firing synapses, knows that Hillary cannot win in November. It appeared that Democrats had woken up to that fact and were ready to nominate Obama. It is good to know that stupidity is still alive and well in the Democratic party.
Both races now appear wide open. The GOP has 3 different winners. The race is now among Huck, Romney and McCain. Thompson (who has a second and a third) is still alive but could climb back in with a win.
Neither Giuiliani or Paul has finished higher than 4th in any of the 3 states. It would be silly to claim they remain factors.
On the Dem side, a long, bloody fight favors Hillary because of the number of "Super Delegates". Republicans would love to face a bloodied Hillary in November. The only thing is, their fight could get bloody too.
Up next, Michigan, on the 15th. Hold on tight!
~The Knight
Track Back:
The Thunder Run:
|