Thursday, May 1, 2008   Return to top
A NEWT ONE-THE TRUTH SURGE
"Intractable Quagmire" is a term Democrats employed several times over the last 5 years. Now, they are in one. It is difficult to imagine a scenario more delicious, from a Republican's vantage point. There is simply nothing they can do to win this year's Presidential election. They find themselves trapped......

Victims of their own wicked game of identity politics, they can now only choose which candidate they want to lose in November. It really is that simple.

Which ever candidate is chosen will be crippled by the bitter vanquished on the other side of the deepening democratic divide. Political correctness is starting to give way to cold reality and what was dare not whispered a few months ago, is now being spoken openly.

Democrats and the media are openly worrying about the so-called "Bradley effect"- and for good reason. The Bradley effect was named after Black LA Mayor Tom Bradley lost the Governor's race in California despite leading in all public opinion polls right up to election day.

It is very rare that all the pollsters will get it wrong (Remember this, it comes into play later). The conclusion was that many people told the pollsters they were supporting the black candidate, only to pull the lever for his white opponent George Deukmejian.

Is there evidence of a Bradley effect at work in 2008?

Pollster John Zogby seems to think so and so does Columnist Robert Novak.

Novak writes;
If there really is a Bradley Effect in 2008, Zogby sees November peril ahead for Obama in blue states. John McCain is a potential winner not only in Pennsylvania but also Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota, and can retain Ohio.


Remember, it is rare that all-or almost all- the pollsters get it wrong. Most of the pollsters had it wrong in Pennsylvania and the Obama supporters knew it...
When exit polls for the Pennsylvania primary came out late Tuesday afternoon showing a puny lead of 3.6 points for Hillary Clinton against Barack Obama,
Democratic leaders who desperately wanted her to end her candidacy were not
cheered. They were sure that this overstated Sen. Obama's strength, as exit
polls nearly always have in urban, diverse states.
How was it possible, then,
that Sen. Clinton, given up for dead by her party's establishment, won
Pennsylvania in a 10-point landslide? The answer is the dreaded Bradley Effect.

Starting with New Hampshire, in January, a number of battleground states that went Blue in 2000 and/or 2004 have seen Obama under perform the closing polls. In other words, Obama is getting Bradleyed in a big way.....by his own party.

Governor Ed Rendell as much as predicted it. Further, there are many now openly stating he was right.
M.B. Whisler makes no bones about it. Whisler, who led a team of volunteers
for U.S. Sen. Barack Obama's campaign, says it's clear some people didn't vote
for him during Tuesday's presidential primary simply because of his skin color.

"We know for a fact that we have had racism problems in the state of Pennsylvania," said Whisler, of Jacobus. "I think the election proved that." To what extent race -- and racism -- played a part in York County during Tuesday's elections is unclear.

Gov. Ed Rendell predicted before the primary that some white Pennsylvanians were likely to vote against Obama because he is black -- and his comments drew much criticism.

Success: Obama had little success Tuesday outside York City and Spring Garden Township, where he garnered almost 4,400 of his countywide total of 23,248 votes.

He managed wins in only a few polling places in other municipalities.

The senator from Illinois lost York County and Pennsylvania by the same margin -- 55 percent to 45 percent.

Whisler said on more than one occasion Obama campaign volunteers encountered racism.

Whisler is a past president of the local chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People.

"Some people have clearly stated to us that he won't vote for him because he is black," said Whisler. "I feel sorry for them. I feel very concerned we still have people who can carry that type of hate within themselves and have not progressed."


Of course, as hypocrisy goes, guys like Whisler really take the cake. When Hillary garners 60% of the White vote, they cry racism.....but Obama getting 92% of the Black vote...well...that's fine. The bottom line? Democrats are racists and always have been. The Black Democrats hate Whites and the White democrats hate Blacks.

But who didn't know that?

Democratic Identity politics is based solely on the premise that you should vote for Candidate 'A' because Candidate 'B' is an asshole. It has rarely served them well. In fact, Identity politics has gotten the Dems to 50% just once (50.1%) in 40 years. This year they will, once again fail to meet that mark.

But this year is special in an almost erotically ironic way. In a time of such virulent (and irrational) anti-republican sentiment, you might think that screwing this one up would be equivalent to mishandling a free lunch.

Yet, nobody ever went poor from over-estimating the ability of Democrats to screw things up. If ever there was a cant miss election, this was it. The Generic ballot is off the chart in favor of the dems and most people imagine (again, irrationally) we have entered a great depression.

It would seem the Dems could nominate Chris Crocker and win 40 States.

Yet, to the utter joy and astonishment of Republicans, the crowd that can't shoot straight seems to have boxed themselves into a can't win situation. Either nominate the Black candidate and lose 1 out of 5 Democratic voters or nominate the White candidate.....and lose 1 out of 5 Democratic voters.

Either way, you nominate someone who half of America will not vote for under any circumstances.

It seems that all John McCain has to do to win is show up! Democratic divide and conquer politics has divided and conquered the dems.

Priceless.

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